Telecommunications Science ›› 2019, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (11): 125-131.doi: 10.11959/j.issn.1000-0801.2019274

• Power informatization column • Previous Articles     Next Articles

An analysis method for electricity consumption in peak load period of summer based on regression analysis

Yuze CHEN1,Lei LI2,Xuemin FANG2,Jian LIU1,Jiakui ZHAO3,Yuxi LIU1,Songlin ZUO4   

  1. 1 State Grid Information &Telecommunication Group Co.,Ltd.,Beijing 100085,China
    2 State Grid Corporation of China,Beijing 100031,China
    3 State Grid Big Data Center,Beijing 100031,China
    4 State Grid Anhui Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Hefei 340001,China
  • Revised:2019-10-10 Online:2019-11-01 Published:2019-12-23

Abstract:

A method for analyzing the relationship between daily maximum temperature and electricity consumption during peak load period was proposed.Firstly,the relationship between maximum temperature and electricity consumption was quantified by Pearson correlation coefficient.Secondly,the functional relationship was established using regression and solved by least squares method.The quantified result of the relationship between maximum temperature and electricity consumption was then acquired.The empirical research shows the proposed method for electricity consumption analysis during peak load period of summer can quantify the variation of daily electricity consumption caused by temperature change and predict electricity consumption of the next few days according to the analysis result.

Key words: electricity consumption, peak load period of summer, Pearson correlation coefficient, regression analysis, least squares

CLC Number: 

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