Chinese Journal of Intelligent Science and Technology ›› 2020, Vol. 2 ›› Issue (1): 88-98.doi: 10.11959/j.issn.2096-6652.202010

• Regular Papers • Previous Articles    

The evaluation of the control measures for COVID-19 based on ACP approach

Liang MA1,2,Mei YANG1,Chuan AI1,Zhengqiu ZHU1,Hailiang CHEN1,Mengna ZHU1,Wei DUAN1,Xiaogang QIU1,Xin LU1,Bin CHEN1()   

  1. 1 College of Systems Engineering,National University of Defense Technology,Changsha 410073,China
    2 Beijing Institute for Advanced Studies,National University of Defense Technology,Beijing 100101,China
  • Revised:2020-02-26 Online:2020-03-20 Published:2020-04-10
  • Supported by:
    The National Key Research and Development Program of China(2018YFC0806900);The National Natural Science Foundation of China(71673292);The National Natural Science Foundation of China(71673294);The National Social Science Foundation of China(17CGL047)

Abstract:

It is theoretical and practical significance for epidemic prevention and control to evaluate epidemic control measures using information technology so as to guide the implementation of epidemic control measures.Based on ACP approach and statistical data,a platform of computation experiment for artificial city was constructed,from which artificial models were established for three typical places,namely community,school and factory,to support the evaluation of specific epidemic control measures.The control measures of COVID-19 were evaluated through the computational experiments.The results showed that the control measures of quarantine and self-protection could only delay the peak of the number of infected people in the epidemic,but had no obvious effect on reducing the total number of infected people.Only the isolation measure with huge economic cost could significantly inhibit the development of the epidemic.The effect of the isolation measures showed that effectively blocking the “person-to-person”transmission chain was the key to the epidemic control.Therefore,it was recommended to adopt comprehensive means involving inspection and quarantine,big data,artificial intelligence and so on to accurately screen the patients and potential infected people.

Key words: ACP approach, COVID-19, control measures, effect evaluation

CLC Number: 

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